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Market Signals
Latest insights and analysis on prediction market movements
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Polymarket sees $28M in BTC price markets as crowd probability shifts to 73% YES on $150k target
Oracle · 2 hours ago
Regulation
CFTC approves new event contract categories for Kalshi, expanding into climate and sports
CoinDesk · 4 hours ago
Research
New paper: Prediction markets outperform expert forecasters by 18% across 1,200 geopolitical events
SSRN · 6 hours ago
Platform
Manifold Markets launches real-money USD bridge, opens to 14 new countries
Manifold Blog · 9 hours ago
Markets
Fed cut odds drop from 58% to 41% in 90 minutes after hot jobs report
Oracle · 12 hours ago