Prediction Market Intelligence

Map the signal.
Shape the future.

Live odds, signals, and education across every major prediction market — Polymarket, Kalshi, and beyond.

Explore marketsHow it works
$2.4B
Total volume, all platforms
↑ 340% year over year
18k+
Active markets right now
↑ 12% this month
5
Platforms tracked
Updated in real-time
Live market signals
QuestionPlatformProbabilityWatch
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
$1.6M · Polymarket · Geopolitics
Polymarket
54%
Will the President be impeached before Jun 1, 2026?
$1.3M · Kalshi · Politics
Kalshi
2%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
$700K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
59%
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.5% in Q1 2026?
$41K · Kalshi · Economy
Kalshi
2%
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
$728K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
54%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?
$9K · Kalshi · Macro
Kalshi
23%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
$11.1M · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
49%
Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in May 2026?
$8K · Kalshi · Macro
Kalshi
6%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
$598K · Polymarket · Politics
Polymarket
53%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
$1.8M · Polymarket · Geopolitics
Polymarket
51%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
$4.0M · Polymarket · Crypto
Polymarket
50%
GTA VI released before June 2026?
$13.7M · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
1%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
$320K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
41%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
$101K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
3%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
$57K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
4%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
$141K · Polymarket · General
Polymarket
13%
Latest signals
Markets
Polymarket sees $28M in BTC price markets as crowd probability shifts to 73% YES on $150k target
Oracle · 2 hours ago
Regulation
CFTC approves new event contract categories for Kalshi, expanding into climate and sports
CoinDesk · 4 hours ago
Research
New paper: Prediction markets outperform expert forecasters by 18% across 1,200 geopolitical events
SSRN · 6 hours ago
Platform
Manifold Markets launches real-money USD bridge, opens to 14 new countries
Manifold Blog · 9 hours ago
Markets
Fed cut odds drop from 58% to 41% in 90 minutes after hot jobs report
Oracle · 12 hours ago
Learn
01
What are prediction markets?
How crowd wisdom becomes probability. The mechanics of YES/NO shares and why markets outperform polls.
5 min read →
02
AMMs vs order books
How Polymarket's automated market maker differs from Kalshi's model and what it means for price efficiency.
12 min read →
03
Cross-platform arbitrage
When Polymarket and Kalshi disagree on the same event, that's an opportunity. How to find and execute it.
20 min read →
Platform comparison
Polymarket
Decentralized · Polygon · Global
Total volume$2.1B+
Active markets12,400+
CurrencyUSDC
US residentsRestricted
Fees2% on winnings
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated · USD · US legal
Total volume$380M+
Active markets3,200+
CurrencyUSD
US residentsFully legal
Fees1–7% per contract
Manifold
Community · Play money · Open
Total volumeM$2.4B (play)
Active markets40,000+
CurrencyMana (M$)
US residentsOpen to all
FeesNone
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